关键词: 玉米, 生产, 消费, 市场价格, 进口, 展望

Abstract:

In 2017, global maize supply remained enough, and international maize market price maintained low. Over the same period, China's maize planting area and total production both decreased continually; domestic maize market price waved to recover from low levels, and purchasing price of maize produced in 2017 was significantly higher than the previous year; maize consumption demand increased obviously, and the maize supply-demand relationship was changing to roughly balance from periodic oversupply; domestic price was nearly in the line with international price, so imports of maize and its alternatives somewhat reduced. Looking forward to 2018, planting area of China's maize will be stable, or might even return growth; domestic maize price will rise gradually, and annual average price will be higher than previous year; domestic consumption demand will further increase, and perhaps reach new historical peak; price gap between domestic and imported maize will be enlarging, so the pressure of China's imports of maize and its alternatives will increase.